FTS got this post first and now you get it! This Oscar season has been going by real fast. The Golden Globes announced their winners last Sunday, Oscar nominees are tomorrow and the Oscar winners will be decided February 9th. That's the earliest I've ever seen them decided! What's up with that?
So that means I will have to post my Oscar nomination predictions today. I will predict the five I most believe will get nominated (ten for Picture and three for Hair and MakeUp), a Dark Horse or two who I think could best upset, and a For Your Consideration pick for who I feel doesn't have a chance but most deserves it. So here are my predictions:
BEST PICTURE:
Dark Horse 1: Little Women
DH2: The Two Popes
FYC: The Farewell
Predicting Best Picture nominees is not only hard for what you think will get in, but how many will get nominated. I decided to pick ten.
BEST DIRECTOR:
DH1: TODD PHILLIPS/ Joker
DH2: NOAH BAUMBACH/Marriage Story
FYC: JAMES MANGOLD/ Ford vs. Ferrari
BEST ACTOR:
DH1: ROBERT De NIRO/ The Irishman
DH2: ANTONIO BANDERAS/ Pain and Glory
FYC: EDDIE MURPHY/ Dolemite Is My Name
This is a tight race. Some are obvious contenders, but there are many others that are as capable of getting snubbed as they are in getting nominated.
BEST ACTRESS:
DH1: SAOIRSE RONAN/ Little Women
DH2: LUPITA NYONG'O/ Us
FYC: ALFRE WOODARD/Clemency
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
DH1: SONG HANG-KO/ Parasite
DH2: ANTHONY HOPKINS/ The Two Popes
Usually the supporting acting categories have a lot of first-time acting nominees. This year, it looks like vets have the best chances of nominations.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
DH1: NICOLE KIDMAN/ Bombshell
DH2: ANNETTE BENING/ The Report
FYC: ZHAO SHUZHEN/ The Farewell
This is the one major category that's the most unpredictable and has the most nominees from out of nowhere. We'll see how it holds up tomorrow.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
DH1: JEZ BUTTERWORTH, JOHN-HENRY BUTTERWORTH and JASON KELLER/ Ford vs. Ferrari
DH2: BENNY SAFDIE, JOSH SAFDIE and RONALD BRONSTEIN/ Uncut Gems
FYC: LULU WANG/ The Farewell
For all five of my nomination predictions, the film's director either wrote or co-wrote the script too. New filmmakers, take note.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
DH1: MICAH FITZERMAN-BLUEand NOAH HARPSTER/ A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood
FYC: EDWARD NORTON/ Motherless Brooklyn
Judging by most of the major Oscar nominations, this looks to be a very Netflix year!
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:
DH1: I Lost My Body
DH2: Alita: Battle Angel
FYC: The White Snake
This year consisted of a lot of animated sequels and even a 3D remake of a 2D classic.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
DH1: CLAIRE MATHON/ Portrait Of A Lady On Fire
DH2: DICK POPE/ Motherless Brooklyn
BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
DH1: ANNA ROBBINS/ Downton Abbey
DH2: JENNY EAGAN/ Knives Out
Anyone else feel that most years, the Academy has a favoritism towards costumes of timepieces over say sci-fi films? I know Black Panther won last year, but most wins here have been timepieces.
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:
DH1: One-Child Nation
DH2: The Cave
BEST FILM EDITING:
DH1: MICHAEL McCUSKER and ANDREW BUCKLAND/ Ford vs. Ferrari
BEST HAIR and MAKE-UP:
DH1: 1917
DH2: Bombshell
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM:
DH1: Painted Bird (Czech Republic)
DH2: Those Who Remained (Hungary)
Funny this is a category the Academy retitled from Best Foreign-Language Film. Interesting!
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
DH1: RANDY NEWMAN/ Marriage Story
DH2: MARCO BELTRAMI and BUCK SANDERS/ Ford vs. Ferrari
FYC: MICHAEL GIACCHINO/ JoJo Rabbit
Even if John Williams doesn't have a score that gets a lot of accolades in other awards shows, he's almost guaranteed to get nominated for the Oscars. It's a given!
BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
DH1: “Speechless” / Aladdin
DH2: "A Glass Of Soju" / Parasite
There's no 100% guaranteed song here. It's not like last year that was all Shallow, Shallow, Shallow!
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
DH1: The Irishman
DH2: Little Women
FYC: JoJo Rabbit
BEST SOUND MIXING:
DH1: Once Upon a Time In Hollywood
DH2: The Irishman
BEST SOUND EDITING:
DH: Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
DH1: Alita: Battle Angel
DH2: The Irishman
This is one category where superhero movies usually have their best chances. Interesting mix of favorite this year.
And there you go. Those are my picks for the nominees for the 92nd Academy Awards. We'll know who the true contenders are tomorrow morning bright and early!
Here is the same post I made over at FTS.
What stands out for me right away is 11 for Joker and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, 1917 and The Irishman with 10 each and Greta Gerwig snubbed for best director.
Will the third time be the charm for Tarantino? I am hoping he gets it this time and how about Brad Pitt after three previous will he walk off with it, the chance is very good I am thinking with stiff competition from Hanks.
Shockingly that was just my second post over there because I have been so busy and when I am at FTS I am busy researching, looking for pics, checking on that stars that have been on-site through the years, I never realize there were so many and some I actually have forgotten about so that project is a bit too big might not be possible to get every former TSO listed actor over there but we will see. I see it has surprisingly brought back a few from way back that have not been around in ages.
I would say GRETA GERWIG for director is a huge snub as is Jenifer Lopez and I never thought I would mention oscar and Adam Sandler in the same sentence. How the hell could The Farewell and Dolemite get NOTHING? I don't feel too bad over DeNiro not getting it because he would not win anyways and he is one of those actors that is totally unlikeable in how he treats people on the set from what I have heard I have never been there but I have heard recordings on how he treated his former assistant, the man is a low life.
JeffJones said:
The tradition continues, and yes the awards season is moving very fast for sure. It must be over a dozen years now you have been putting these up and always with a very good success rate. I am looking forward to seeing 1917 the buzz for this has been out of this world.
Ever since I started doing it here back in 2002, I've liked the rapport. That's what keeps me wanting to do it. I may have stopped posting my Top 10 films of the year, but not my oscar predictions.
One thing. Ever since I first visited TSO, the race becomes extra-exciting whenever there'sw a young actor or actress in the race to earn an Oscar nomination. It first started 20 years ago with Haley in The Sixth Sense, then the following year with Jamie Bell in Billy Elliot, then the following year with Dakota Fanning in I Am Sam. The excitiement and intrigue just grows.
And even this year for Roman Griffin Davis in Jojo Rabbit. He became the youngest Golden Globe nominee for Best Actor - Comedy or Musical since Macaulay in Home Alone. The Oscar nod wasn't meant to be, though.
Front_Row_Center said:
I would say GRETA GERWIG for director is a huge snub as is Jenifer Lopez and I never thought I would mention oscar and Adam Sandler in the same sentence. How the hell could The Farewell and Dolemite get NOTHING? I don't feel too bad over DeNiro not getting it because he would not win anyways and he is one of those actors that is totally unlikeable in how he treats people on the set from what I have heard I have never been there but I have heard recordings on how he treated his former assistant, the man is a low life.
What can I say? When you only have room for five nominations, it leaves room for a lot of snubs that can peeve people off.
Admin said:
Here is the same post I made over at FTS.
What stands out for me right away is 11 for Joker and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, 1917 and The Irishman with 10 each and Greta Gerwig snubbed for best director.
Will the third time be the charm for Tarantino? I am hoping he gets it this time and how about Brad Pitt after three previous will he walk off with it, the chance is very good I am thinking with stiff competition from Hanks.
Shockingly that was just my second post over there because I have been so busy and when I am at FTS I am busy researching, looking for pics, checking on that stars that have been on-site through the years, I never realize there were so many and some I actually have forgotten about so that project is a bit too big might not be possible to get every former TSO listed actor over there but we will see. I see it has surprisingly brought back a few from way back that have not been around in ages.
Hard to believe the last time Hanks was nominated before this year was during the very first Oscar race I was posting in TSO: the 2000 race and for Castaway. We all thought Hanks would become the first to win three Best Actor Oscars. Instead Daniel Day-Lewis beat him to it!